This market will resolve according to the sex of Donald Trump's and Satan's baby if or when the gender is revealed during South Park Season 27.
If the gender of Donald Trump's and Satan's baby is neither male nor female, not revealed during season...
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if the Celtics and Raptors combine to score 222 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 222, this market will resolve to...
If https://manifold.markets/AndrewG/will-greenland-hold-an-independence?play=false resolves YES, resolves YES if the result is pro-independence, NO otherwise. Resolves N/A otherwise.
booking process should be as straightforward as booking a traditional haircut
This market will close when the anthropic livestream starts.
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the attack on the Crocus concert hall was organised by the Putin regime / Russian State.
If there is no evidence supporting this hypothesis before January 1st 2031, then this market resolves as NO. If...
Before February 1st, 2029, will Donald Trump post or talk about an attack on a public intellectual (e.g. prominent academic, writer, podcaster, journalist) which leaves the public intellectual in serious or critical condition or dead, in an approving...
2049 marks the 100th anniversary of the People's Republic of China. Graham Allison and The Brookings Institute have suggested that the PRC wants to achieve some form of national greatness by 2049, which would possibly include conquering Taiwan.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Seychelles on September 27, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will...
Abstract:
“Rail Baltica” is a key railroad infrastructure project in the Baltic region (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and partly Poland) of the European Union that is set to integrate the Baltics into the European rail network (part of TEN-T European...
The current price of the base model Apple Vision Pro is $3499, will it be reduced on the official Apple US website before 2026?
See this market for prior to 2025:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/Predict/will-apple-reduce-the-price-of-the)
BUY: good SHORT: bad Market trades based on sentiment & never resolves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Zuckerberg and/or Priscilla Chan announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by December 31,...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ronald Acuña Jr. is awarded the 2025 MLB National League Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ronald Acuña Jr. is not announced as a finalist for the 2025 MLB NL MVP...
the exact latin words, in any context, with any capitalization
resolves NO when he is removed
This market, but bronze instead of gold criteria:
Getting gold or silver would mean this market resolves YES, as an AI capable of getting above bronze could also get bronze.
(https://manifold..
This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope.
Italy will not be considered for this market.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the...
If the Statue of Liberty in New York is taken down or substantially damaged in the next 20 years, including decapitation of the statue or destruction from natural disasters, this question resolves NO. Minor wear and tear does not count.
Intentional...
This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2025 MLB Postseason, currently scheduled between September 30 and November 1, 2025.
If two or more players are tied for the most home runs, this market will resolve to the...
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